Hand Reading Intro
Posted by: January 16th | CommentsIn David Sklansky’s book, The Theory of Poker, he presents what he calls The Fundamental Theorem of Poker. Sounds like fun, huh? It’s actually pretty simple and the theorem clearly states what is optimal poker strategy. It is based on the fact that if all of the players in a game could see each others cards, there would always be a correct and incorrect play based on mathematics. A player that understood the math would be able to play perfectly.
Every time you play a hand differently from the way you would have played it if you could see all your opponents’ cards, they gain; and every time you play your hand the same way you would have played it if you could see all their cards, they lose. Conversely, every time opponents play their hands differently from the way they would have if they could see all your cards, you gain; and every time they play their hands the same way they would have played if they could see all your cards, you lose.
—David Sklansky, The Theory of Poker
This is where the ability to “read hands” comes in. Hand reading is never an exact science, it is more a logical guess based on observed actions and behavior patterns. Let’s try an oversimplified example. If you know, based on thousands of hands of history, that your opponent only 3bets with AA or KK, then you know that he holds one of these two hands every time he 3bets.
So does this make it incorrect to call his 3bet with your 98s? Not necessarily. Since you have narrowed down his range to one of two hands, you have a huge advantage once the flop comes out. If you flop say, two pair, it is going to be very hard for your opponent to let go of his hand and you will probably be able to get all the money in. In this extreme example, knowing what your opponent holds can be enough to overcome the strength differences between your hands, provided that the implied odds are great enough to justify the call.
This of course is not a very realistic example. In a real game most opponents are not this predictable. That’s why we must learn to define a hand range in order to be able to correctly play our hand. A tight-aggressive villain 3bets 5% of the time preflop. This indicates that he is not likely 3betting many, if any, junk hands or speculative hands. What he is 3betting are hands like 99+, AQo+, and AJs+. Now that we know the range that this 5% 3better likely holds, we can play much closer to optimal as defined by Sklansky’s Fundamental Theorem of Poker.
We will discuss hand reading much more in the future, including how to calculate your equity versus a villains hand range.
$50 Challenge
Posted by: January 14th | CommentsYou may have heard of some poker pros trying to turn some ridiculously small amount of money (like $10) into $100,000. Well… that’s not my challenge. What I am going to do is turn a $50 bankroll into $1,000 by playing strictly micro stakes 6-max games. I’m doing this for two reasons. One, I want to show that it can be done, and two, I want to get a feel for the micro stakes games again.
This is the same challenge that I will be posing to all of the beginning poker players that join this site. I don’t want you depositing $500 or $1,000 in a site to start playing low stakes. I want you to deposit $50 or $100, (or less if you’re willing to start off at the REALLY micro stakes) and turn it into a substantial bankroll over time. If I pose a challenge to you, I better make sure I can do it first. I also plan on making several training videos based on these sessions.
My plan is to start off using aggressive bankroll management and playing .05/.10 NL 6-max and moving up to .10/.25 as quickly as possible. If I fall below a level that I’m comfortable at, I’ll drop down and start playing lower stakes. Since I’ll be playing only about half an hour a day, I expect this challenge to take me quite awhile, provided that I don’t go busto in the first week.
I’ll post regular updates on this challenge under Blogs>Challenge until I either lose or hit the $1k mark. I’ll be sure to include my profit graphs and any interesting hands/sessions.
First Poker Update
Posted by: January 14th | CommentsI’m going to use this section to post updates of my progress – in poker that is. I guess I’ll jump right to it.
I played a very short session of HUNL this evening. I didn’t play well and ended up down 1.5 BI. Tomorrow I plan on having a couple of long sessions, hopefully I can get my act together then.
On a happier note, this was a fun hand:
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (2 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (BB) ($100)
SB ($80.90)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 8
, 10
SB calls $0.50, Hero checks
Flop: ($2) 6
, 7
, 9
(2 players)
Hero checks, SB bets $2, Hero raises to $7, SB raises to $20, Hero raises to $99 (All-In), SB calls $59.90 (All-In)
Turn: ($161.80) 10
(2 players, 2 all-in)
River: ($161.80) 2
(2 players, 2 all-in)
Total pot: $161.80 | Rake: $0.50
Flopping the nuts is never bad. When this tight passive 3bet me on the flop I knew he either had a made hand or a strong draw, so I felt I would get called by many hands if I just shipped it in there. There were also a lot of cards I didn’t want to see on the turn, such as a diamond, 10, 8, or 5. If the diamond hits I’m not going to feel as good getting it in and if the 10, 8, or 5 come I doubt he’ll be able to call much of a bet with most of his hands. This guy limped everything preflop, so I couldn’t exclude anything from his range.
He ended up showing me QQ.
